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Hello, it's Monday, 13 February 2012 and I'm Martin Smith with the daily outlook from UFXMarkets. The US Dollar strengthened versus most majorcurrencies as risk aversion grew following S&P's downgrade of Italian banks, and in spiteof Greece passing the package of cuts needed to complete the next step towards securingthe second bailout. Wall Street closed negative as the Dow declined by 0.69% and the NASDAQby 0.80%. Crude oil fell by 0.90% to close at .00 a barrel. Gold (XAU) fell by 0.60%,to close at 21.00 an ounce. No economic data is expected today.The Euro fell versus the Greenback on high concern that Europe’s debt crisis will worsen.Despite the Greek Prime Minister securing approval from parliament for austerity measuresto secure a second package of aid from the European Union and International MonetaryFund. The EUR/USD’s momentum is positive above the 1.2950 level and as long as thepair is trading above this level the Euro may continue upward. Overall, the EUR/USDtraded with a low of 1.3155 and with a high of 1.3283. No economic data is expected today.The Pound extended losses versus a US Dollar weighed by negative sentiment. Despite thatPPI Output came out 0.50% better than expected. GBPUSD’s momentum remains bullish above1.5700. The next resistance level on the 4 hour chart is at 1.5800
and breaking thislevel will probably cause the Pound to increase to 1.5900. Overall, the GBP/USD traded witha low of 1.5730 and a high of 1.5848. No economic data is expected today.The Dollar gained at the end of the trading week against the Yen as the Japanese currencyextended losses across the board, falling to a two-week low versus the Greenback. TheUSD/JPY’s momentum is bullish as long as the pair is trading above the 77.20 leveland the next resistance level is located at 77.80. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with alow of 77.50 and a high of 77.79. Tomorrow, Bank of Japan is expected to announce theOvernight Call Rate unchanged at 0.10% and the Monetary Policy Statement is expectedto be released. The Canadian Dollar fell from a 3-month highversus its U.S. counterpart after European officials demanded Greece enact greater austeritymeasures before winning more funding, damping demand for riskier assets. In addition, thecurrency, strongly linked to Commodities, lost ground as crude oil fell. As long asthe pair is trading below 1.0040, the US Dollar’s momentum is still negative. Overall, the USD/CADtraded with a low of 0.9951 and a high of 1.0028. Today, the Trade Balance is expectedat 0.7B vs. 1.1B previously.
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