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Hello, it's Monday, 13 February 2012 and I'm Martin Smith with the daily outlook from UFX
Markets. The US Dollar strengthened versus most major
currencies as risk aversion grew following S&P's downgrade of Italian banks, and in spite
of Greece passing the package of cuts needed to complete the next step towards securing
the second bailout. Wall Street closed negative as the Dow declined by 0.69% and the NASDAQ
by 0.80%. Crude oil fell by 0.90% to close at .00 a barrel. Gold (XAU) fell by 0.60%,
to close at 21.00 an ounce. No economic data is expected today.
The Euro fell versus the Greenback on high concern that Europe’s debt crisis will worsen.
Despite the Greek Prime Minister securing approval from parliament for austerity measures
to secure a second package of aid from the European Union and International Monetary
Fund. The EUR/USD’s momentum is positive above the 1.2950 level and as long as the
pair is trading above this level the Euro may continue upward. Overall, the EUR/USD
traded with a low of 1.3155 and with a high of 1.3283. No economic data is expected today.
The Pound extended losses versus a US Dollar weighed by negative sentiment. Despite that
PPI Output came out 0.50% better than expected. GBPUSD’s momentum remains bullish above
1.5700. The next resistance level on the 4 hour chart is at 1.5800

and breaking this
level will probably cause the Pound to increase to 1.5900. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with
a low of 1.5730 and a high of 1.5848. No economic data is expected today.
The Dollar gained at the end of the trading week against the Yen as the Japanese currency
extended losses across the board, falling to a two-week low versus the Greenback. The
USD/JPY’s momentum is bullish as long as the pair is trading above the 77.20 level
and the next resistance level is located at 77.80. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a
low of 77.50 and a high of 77.79. Tomorrow, Bank of Japan is expected to announce the
Overnight Call Rate unchanged at 0.10% and the Monetary Policy Statement is expected
to be released. The Canadian Dollar fell from a 3-month high
versus its U.S. counterpart after European officials demanded Greece enact greater austerity
measures before winning more funding, damping demand for riskier assets. In addition, the
currency, strongly linked to Commodities, lost ground as crude oil fell. As long as
the pair is trading below 1.0040, the US Dollar’s momentum is still negative. Overall, the USD/CAD
traded with a low of 0.9951 and a high of 1.0028. Today, the Trade Balance is expected
at 0.7B vs. 1.1B previously.

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